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The Role of On-Chain Data Analysis in Detecting Crypto Scams

Dulcie Tlbl
Published On Jul 28, 2025 | Updated On Aug 28, 2025 | 7 min read
Cartoon masked detective with a pistol under a magnifying glass of binary code, warning icons, and footprints, symbolizing tracking and flagging crypto scams.
On-chain data goes full sleuth: tracing footprints, raising alerts, and uncovering crypto-scam patterns!

As crypto adoption accelerates, so do the high-stakes scams that exploit its speed, anonymity, and global reach. In 2024 alone, crypto scams cost users over $9.9 billion, and early 2025 added another $2.5 billion in losses due to wallet compromises and phishing. On‑chain analysis has emerged as a critical defence, enabling real-time detection through transparent, immutable blockchain data. This guide dives deep into the mechanisms of on-chain forensics, how AI tools trace crypto scam flows, and the future of fraud prevention across chains.

What is On-Chain Analysis, and How Does It Work?

On-chain analysis refers to the forensic inspection of blockchain transaction data to understand user behaviour, wallet interactions, and contract activity. Unlike off-chain data (social media posts, phishing sites, or promotional content), on-chain data is tamper-proof, timestamped, and globally accessible, making it a reliable data source for detecting anomalies and fraud. By analyzing patterns across Ethereum, Bitcoin, BNB Chain, and other blockchains, investigators identify suspicious events such as liquidity manipulations, hidden smart contract traps, and wallet behaviours inconsistent with legitimate user activity. 

 

“Blockchain analysis is the new frontier in forensic investigation, turning transparency into accountability.” 

  — Jonathan Levin, CEO, Chainalysis

Key Metrics Used

Fraud detection through on-chain data depends on identifying transactional outliers and behavioural patterns. Key metrics include:

  • Transaction volume spikes in newly created tokens Sudden increases in transaction volume can indicate coordinated efforts to inflate token value artificially, often seen in pump-and-dump schemes.

  • Token hold duration Short holding periods often point to speculative trading, where investors quickly flip tokens for profit, common in scam tactics like rug pulls or exit scams.

  • Clustering of wallet addresses By using Bubblemap or Arkham, unusual groupings of wallet addresses can be identified, which helps flag Sybil attacks or collusion between multiple entities.

  • Velocity and frequency of fund transfers Rapid transfers, especially between centralized exchanges (CEX) and decentralized finance bridges, could indicate suspicious movements of funds aimed at obfuscating the origin of assets.

  • Smart contract invocation patterns Unusual activity like frequent owner-only calls or sudden liquidity removals can signal manipulation or exit strategies, often seen in fraudulent smart contracts.

Example: Rug pulls often involve a quick accumulation of liquidity followed by abnormal outflows, typically through “exit” functions that drain funds from the contract.

Differences Between On-Chain and Off-Chain Analysis

On-chain analysis: Provides concrete, verifiable data on wallet transactions, token behavior, and blockchain activities, offering a factual view of suspicious actions, such as unusual fund movements or contract interactions.

Off-chain sources: Capture external elements like social media promotions, phishing attempts, or social engineering tactics. These provide context to the intent behind actions, like identifying fraudulent campaigns or bait for scams. 

 

  • AI-driven systems: Can cross-reference phishing URLs with on-chain wallet flows, identifying when scam wallets interact with phishing domains, helping track down fraudulent schemes more efficiently.

  • Risk engines: Combine on-chain data with off-chain metadata from social platforms, domain registries, and AI-generated content (e.g., deepfakes) to build a comprehensive risk profile and detect emerging threats.

Example: If a scam token is promoted through a phishing site, AI can link the token's smart contract to the site’s hosting metadata, then trace victim funds to laundering addresses, providing a complete picture of the scam operation.

Common Crypto Scams and How On-Chain Analysis Helps Detect Them

Identifying Suspicious Wallet Activity

Scam wallets typically show:

  • Rapid, high-volume inflows from centralized exchanges or mixers

Scam wallets often receive large amounts of funds quickly, especially from centralized exchanges (CEX) or mixers (services that obfuscate transaction histories), making it harder to trace the source of funds.

  • Circular transactions to obfuscate origin and ownership

This involves funds being moved between wallets in a loop to confuse tracing efforts. It hides the true source and destination of the funds, making it difficult for investigators to track illegal activity.

  • Multi-hop laundering via bridges or layered transactions

This refers to using multiple platforms, such as cross-chain bridges, to transfer assets across different blockchains. It adds complexity, making it more challenging to follow the movement of illicit funds.

These behaviors are commonly seen in pig-butchering schemes (scams where victims are “fattened up” with promises of high returns before being swindled) or phishing theft (fraudulent attempts to steal information or funds via deceptive links or messages).

Chainalysis and TRM Labs report significant wallet anomalies tied to compromised seed phrases and address poisoning in early 2025.

Detecting Rug Pulls, Ponzi Schemes, and Wash Trading

On-chain tools can detect:

  • Trapdoor tokens (Known az "Honeypot")

These are tokens that can be bought by users but cannot be sold. Often used in scams, these tokens are designed to trap users after they invest, making it impossible for them to recover their funds.

  • Contracts with hidden owner-only withdrawal functions

Some smart contracts contain hidden functions that allow only the owner (the scammer) to withdraw funds. These functions are typically not visible to the users, making the scam harder to detect.

  • Fake liquidity injections, quickly followed by drains

Scammers may create the illusion of a well-funded token by injecting liquidity, only to later drain it suddenly, leaving investors with worthless assets.

  • High-frequency circular trades (indicative of wash trading)

This involves creating the illusion of trading activity by buying and selling the same asset between different accounts. Wash trading manipulates market prices and volume, often to mislead investors. 

 

Additional Examples

  • 2025 arXiv study on NFTs: Analyzed 50,000 NFT contracts and found recurring rug-pull patterns. These included tokens without verified code (making it impossible to audit), large initial liquidity (which could be quickly withdrawn), and airdrop campaigns tied to manipulated tokenomics (token distribution strategies that were designed to artificially inflate demand).

  • Ponzi schemes on Bitcoin: These are often exposed through network graph analysis, where investigators analyze the flow of transactions across the network. Ponzi schemes show a pattern of continuous inflows to certain addresses (typically high-tier nodes), but there’s no real product or service behind the flow, just a system of reinvesting the funds of new investors to pay earlier ones.

Each of these concepts can be detected using on-chain analysis, which allows for tracking suspicious behaviors, spotting unusual patterns, and uncovering potential scams before they can affect a large number of users.

Tools and Platforms for Conducting On-Chain Analysis

Best Blockchain Explorers

Explorers like Etherscan, Tronscan, Elliptic, Arkham and Nansen provide granular visibility into:

  • Wallet behaviour and address tagging

These features track how wallets behave over time, including identifying suspicious addresses that are tagged (e.g., flagged for involvement in scams or illicit activities), which helps analysts spot fraudulent patterns.

  • Smart contract deployment and interaction logs

These logs show when and how smart contracts are deployed and interacted with on the blockchain. Analysts can see contract changes, token minting, and other activities that could indicate manipulation.

  • Real-time token transfers and liquidity shifts

These tools let users monitor token movements and liquidity changes in real time. They can quickly detect sudden changes that might indicate suspicious activity, like large transactions or liquidity manipulation.

  • Contract verification and proxy detection

Contract verification allows users to check if the code behind a smart contract is publicly available and verifiable. Proxy detection looks for contracts that might hide their true functionality, often used for malicious purposes like rug pulls. 

 

These explorers help forensic analysts and investors audit token mechanics and detect issues like unauthorized minting (creating tokens without permission) or liquidity lock manipulation (locking liquidity to deceive investors).

AI and Machine Learning Detection

Modern platforms deploy AI and ML to automate detection:

  • Chainalysis: This platform uses deep learning to build risk profiles for over 200 million wallets, categorizing them into over 150 types. The system automatically flags suspicious wallets, helping detect fraud, money laundering, and other illicit activities.

  • Elliptic: It uses behavioral heuristics, or patterns of activity, to identify scams like deepfake-driven frauds (where fake identities are created using AI-generated media), address poisoning (deliberately sending funds to trap victims), and money laundering paths (tracking illicit fund transfers).

  • TRM Labs: This platform specializes in anomaly detection by analyzing transaction behavior and sending real-time alerts for suspicious activities. It tracks cross-chain asset migration (the movement of assets between blockchains) and scam clusters, helping to identify coordinated fraudulent activities.

  • Crystal Blockchain: This platform offers predictive intelligence to anticipate threats, such as phishing scams or attacks on smart contracts, by analyzing transaction flows and detecting emerging patterns of fraud.

All platforms incorporate transaction graphs, metadata enrichment, clustering models, and real-time alerting to identify threats early, sometimes within minutes of scam deployment.

Future of On-Chain Analysis in Crypto Security

How Regulation and Transparency Impact the Ecosystem

As AML/KYC obligations increase, exchanges and DeFi projects are expected to implement on-chain analytics into their compliance stacks. According to the 2025 Chainalysis Crypto Crime Report, regulatory enforcement is driving transparency in:

  • Stablecoin flows and CEX liquidity audits

  • Token listing vetting

  • Sanctions-screened wallet lists

Cross-jurisdictional collaboration, such as between U.S. FinCEN, FATF, and blockchain forensics providers, has helped de-anonymize scam networks and recover illicit funds through asset freezing and blacklisting.

Advancements in Forensic & Prevention Technology

Next-gen capabilities are making on-chain analytics more predictive and proactive:

  • Cross-chain scam tracking across Ethereum, Solana, BNB Chain, Arbitrum, and even Cosmos zones

  • Behavioural anomaly alerting, tuned by AI on liquidity flows, wallet activity bursts, and exploit pattern recognition

  • Forensic dashboards enabling regulators, exchanges, and AML teams to track funds in real time

Ultimately, on-chain forensics is evolving from post-fraud investigation to live threat detection, marking a new era of security infrastructure for Web3.

Conclusion

On-chain analysis stands at the core of crypto scam prevention. It empowers analysts to:

  • Detect pig‑butchering, phishing, rug pulls, and Ponzi schemes
  • Monitor smart contract behaviour for malicious code
  • Trace cross-chain fund laundering via bridges and mixers

By combining AI, machine learning, and immutable blockchain data, today’s platforms provide faster, smarter, and more scalable ways to defend against scams. As multi-chain ecosystems grow and regulations mature, on-chain analytics will only become more indispensable, protecting DeFi users, developers, and investors from evolving threats.

Resources

Frequently asked questions

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How soon can on-chain analysis uncover a scam after launch?

Typically within hours. Alert systems detect red flags such as abnormal liquidity movement, mass wallet creation, or rapid token dumps—often before the public catches on.

Can on-chain tools across blockchains catch cross-chain scams?

Yes. Advanced platforms trace fund flows across Ethereum, BSC, Solana, and others, detecting bridge-based laundering, airdrop manipulation, and token-hopping strategies.

What are the key red flags in smart contracts before investing?

Watch for:

  • No verified source code
  • Admin-only fund access functions
  • Hardcoded blacklists or whitelists
  • No third-party audits or token burn logic
  • Embedded scam links in metadata